Kmarion wrote:
GorillaTicTacs wrote:
Kmarion wrote:
Our constitution does not allow us to go to war to "liberate" oppressed people. Incredibly bad intelligence allowed us to be dealt the idea that Saddam was a threat (piggybacked by his 14 years of fuck you to the UN)...
The intel was sound, it just didn't match the policy. So the administration built its own department for the sole purpose of generating intelligence that none of us at DIA (or the CIA or NSA) for that matter seemed to know anything about. You would almost think Cheney, Rove, and Feith just made the shit up. Seriously, my colleagues back then would hear stuff on the news at the same time the rest of the world did and be like "WTF are they talking about?" Saddam hasn't had a decent NBC program since the late 80's when WE stopped supplying him. And we knew this very well, it just didn't happen to fit the policy. It was later, after I got out, that I learned about the Office of Special Plans.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Office_of_Special_PlansSo a big "Fuck You" to Feith-based Intelligence. Thanks for keeping military intelligence the cliche mockery that it certainly doesn't deserve to be.
Source (Page 12) At the meeting on September 25,2002, both the CIA and the DIA supported the NIE assessment that the aluminum tubes were intended for Iraq’s nuclear program and were evidence that Iraq was starting to reconstitute its nuclear weapons program.
They supported it because (2 pages earlier) they claimed they didn't have time to vet their own intelligence before the NIE meeting and were using much earlier assessments from a single CIA agent. They didn't triple check anything, and they especially didn't phone up my crew. We would have told them the same thing the DoE and the INR said. The other part is that EVERYONE knew that the tubes Saddam was looking for were of only marginal quality for use in a nuclear program. No one disagreed on that point. One last sticker into this pig though...Cheney had already invented this claim in a "leak" to the Times 3 weeks before this NIE meeting. Can't very well make Cheney look bad can you?
(Page 25) When asked by Committee staff why the CIA did not consult with the DOE, the IC’s nuclear experts, the WINPAC centrifuge analyst said, “Because we funded it. It was our testing. We were trying to prove some things that we wanted to prove with the testing. It wasn’t a joint effort.”
In other words, some idealogue working with or without orders in the CIA attempted junk science...picking a theory and then attempting to squeeze the evidence to fit.
(Page 44)In August 2002, the CIA published a paper titled Iraq: Expanding WMD Capabilities Pose Growing Threat in which it assessed that “Iraq’s procurement of nuclear-related equipment and materials indicates it has begun reconstituting its uranium enrichment gas centrifuge program to produce fissile material for a nuclear device, a process that could be completed by late this decade.” The same paper later noted, “Iraq’s persistent interest in high-strength aluminum tubes indicates Baghdad has renewed an indigenous centrifuge uranium enrichment program.” The CIA’s nuclear analysts also told Committee staff that the aluminum tube procurement was the principal part of the agency’s assessment that Iraq was reconstituting its nuclear program.
Again, politics at its finest. This is the original report, the seed that everyone just lazily copied from to get their own assessments and then didn't triple-check because it was already out in the public eye. It also ignores the fact that there were 2 other papers floating around with dissenting views on what the aluminum tubes were good for, both saying at best they could be used for a conventional rocket program and were the most inneficient grade that could be used for enrichment.
(Page 131)The Central Intelligence Agency’s (CIA) intelligence assessment on July 2,2001 that the dimensions of the aluminum tubes “match those of a publicly available gas centrifuge design from the 1950s, known as the Zippe centrifuge” is incorrect. Similar information was repeated by the CIA in its assessments, including its input to the National Intelligence Estimate (NIE), and by the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) over the next year and a half.
(Page 56)The Director of Central Intelligence was not aware of the views of all intelligence agencies on the aluminum tubes prior to September 2002 and, as a result, could only have passed the Central Intelligence Agency's view along to the President until that time.
These seem like intelligence failures to me (From our traditional intelligence gathering agencies).
Theres a big difference between failed intel and politicized intel. Say -
Situation #1 - You see, while looking out your window one day, a kid with a gun pointing it at another kid. You shout, the kid with the gun runs. Later, the police ask you about the kid and you tell them about the gun. Your neighbor was closer and saw that the gun was a toy. The police thank you for being a witness and leave.
Situation #2 - Same thing, but the police happen to be quite racist and the kid is black. In fact, 2 weeks before they said they were gonna get that kid no matter what. Your report is used to bust the kid and your neighbor's report ends up in the trash. Of course they don't find the gun later, but they got the kid doing 3 years in juvee anyways.
In neither case did you mean to file a false report, it seemed quite real to you. Your neighbor was just as honest, he just happened to be closer and more reliable as a witness. The police decided who to believe based on honesty...or politics. Was there an intelligence failure in either case?