stkhoplite
Banned
+564|6916|Sheffield-England
So i am doing a case study on global warming.

Can you guys give me your thoughts on if global warming is real or not? Could you also give me the reasons why you say it?

Thanks
Stormscythe
Aiming for the head
+88|6986|EUtopia | Austria
It is real, as numerous numbers show. The real reasons, however, are hardly ever mentioned. CO2 plays an inferior role compared to water vapour, but who cares about that?
One of my chemistry professors once said in his lectures that the reduction of CO2 emissions is very important as with the will to do something about it, we'll sooner or later find the real cause and then be able to fight it

By the way: If there could be something destroying our environment, I consider it our utmost duty to prevent it - whether we are sure about it or not does not matter in this case.
Shocking
sorry you feel that way
+333|6436|...
The earth is heating up but that doesn't say the global warming arguments (aka; it's our fault) are real, we've only been studying this planet's weather patterns for a very short time, 250 million years ago the earth was about 60 degrees hotter on average, and there were no cars or humans involved back then so how did that happen?

We aren't sure wether it's us or another of the earth it's cycles in temperature, all we know that it's getting hotter for a majority of unknown reasons. Everyone tries to disprove eachother, one side saying it's not and the other side it's all human faults, but it's too early to judge and we don't have sufficient information to say for sure.

So, yes I agree that the earth is getting slightly warmer but saying it's obviously our fault is bull, whilst we don't have enough to prove that.
inane little opines
Vilham
Say wat!?
+580|7203|UK
sigh... people like dayarath make me sad.
Stormscythe
Aiming for the head
+88|6986|EUtopia | Austria

dayarath wrote:

250 million years ago the earth was about 60 degrees hotter on average
AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA <cries>
Shocking
sorry you feel that way
+333|6436|...

Vilham wrote:

sigh... people like dayarath make me sad.
Aww too bad, on the other hand you could just try and disprove what I just typed instead of making a remark like that which doesn't contribute to the discussion at all.
inane little opines
stkhoplite
Banned
+564|6916|Sheffield-England

dayarath wrote:

Vilham wrote:

sigh... people like dayarath make me sad.
Aww too bad, on the other hand you could just try and disprove what I just typed instead of making a remark like that which doesn't contribute to the discussion at all.
Yeah i've put your quote into my case study

Thanks a lot
Bertster7
Confused Pothead
+1,101|7018|SE London

Vilham wrote:

sigh... people like dayarath make me sad.
Me too. If his grasp of climatology is a good as his grasp of global economics then this is going to be a tiresome and pointless discussion.....
Superior Mind
(not macbeth)
+1,755|7130

dayarath wrote:

The earth is heating up but that doesn't say the global warming arguments (aka; it's our fault) are real, we've only been studying this planet's weather patterns for a very short time, 250 million years ago the earth was about 60 degrees hotter on average, and there were no cars or humans involved back then so how did that happen?

We aren't sure wether it's us or another of the earth it's cycles in temperature, all we know that it's getting hotter for a majority of unknown reasons. Everyone tries to disprove eachother, one side saying it's not and the other side it's all human faults, but it's too early to judge and we don't have sufficient information to say for sure.

So, yes I agree that the earth is getting slightly warmer but saying it's obviously our fault is bull, whilst we don't have enough to prove that.
Major volcanic eruptions in Siberia led to the heating of the earth just enough to allow frozen methane pockets in once frozen bogs and under the ocean to be releases in to the atmosphere in a staggering amount. This led a detrimental increase in global temperatures and caused the death of 95% of life on Earth. Global warming at it's finest. The path we may or may not be heading too.

Last edited by Superior Mind (2007-12-09 07:44:37)

Vilham
Say wat!?
+580|7203|UK
exactly, I get fed up of enlightening ignorant people. Its only fun for so long.
Shocking
sorry you feel that way
+333|6436|...

Vilham wrote:

exactly, I get fed up of enlightening ignorant people. Its only fun for so long.
I'm being sceptic, I don't know wether it's us or something else being the main source of contribution, I know that we do play a role I never said we didn't, but I don't think it's of that much significance if you look to certain aspects of this thing, one of them being increased solar activity and at it's peak in the past 8000 years, which can be seen here ;

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/2/28/Sunspot_Numbers.png

A good article to read is ; http://www.lifesite.net/ldn/2006/dec/06122210.html on this matter - it only concentrates itself on sunspot activity though but it does have a point, now altough the sunspot activity plays a role our greenhouse gasses etc magnify the warming effect which makes for bad situations.

Not too long ago I saw on the news that the slight warming of the earth has uncovered spots emitting a vast amount of methane into our air heating it up a bit more, which can make way for more catastrophic effects, this is a combination of probably greenhouse gasses sun activity and volcanoes.

https://www.handpen.com/Bio/volcanis.gif

Volcano activity has become more the past time and no, volcanoes don't only emitt CO2 but alot more gasses which seem to be harmfull for our planet, such as water vapor , and sulfur dioxide.

It isn't just your car which makes this earth warmer, it's a multitude of effects

fuck all you naysayers.

Last edited by dayarath (2007-12-09 08:04:55)

inane little opines
Vilham
Say wat!?
+580|7203|UK
Obviously its a multitude of effects... seriously im just gunna end it there, or ill get annoyed at things you might say about this subject that are just plain wrong, as many others have done in the past.
Shocking
sorry you feel that way
+333|6436|...

Vilham wrote:

Obviously its a multitude of effects... seriously im just gunna end it there, or ill get annoyed at things you might say about this subject that are just plain wrong, as many others have done in the past.
Please direct me to the posts you've written in past threads that somehow should enlighten me it's all humans, because you're too much of an ass typing it here and it takes a while to find anything in a 68 page posting history.
inane little opines
Bertster7
Confused Pothead
+1,101|7018|SE London

dayarath wrote:

Not too long ago I saw on the news that the slight warming of the earth has uncovered spots emitting a vast amount of methane into our air heating it up a bit more, which can make way for more catastrophic effects, this is a combination of probably greenhouse gasses sun activity and volcanoes.

http://www.handpen.com/Bio/volcanis.gif

Volcano activity has become more the past time and no, volcanoes don't only emitt CO2 but alot more gasses which seem to be harmfull for our planet, such as water vapor , and sulfur dioxide.
You do realise that volcanic eruptions have a positive overall effect on climate change, slowing the rate of global warming. It's to do with ash clouds blocking out sunlight.

Volcanic eruptions can enhance global warming by adding CO2 to the atmosphere. However, a far greater amount of CO2 is contributed to the atmosphere by human activities each year than by volcanic eruptions. T.M.Gerlach (1991, American Geophysical Union) notes that human-made CO2 are dwarfed the estamated global release of CO2 from volcanoes by at least 150 times. The small amount of global warming caused by eruption-generated greenhouse gases is offset by the far greater amount of global cooling caused by eruption-generated particles in the stratosphere (the haze effect). Greenhouse warming of the earth has been particularly evident since 1980. Without the cooling influence of such eruptions as El Chichon (1982) and Mt. Pinatubo (1991), described below, greenhouse warming would have been more pronounced.
http://www.geology.sdsu.edu/how_volcano … fects.html

Last edited by Bertster7 (2007-12-09 08:22:16)

Vilham
Say wat!?
+580|7203|UK
http://forums.bf2s.com/viewtopic.php?id=31479&p=24

thats the thread.

Ill leave bert to destroy any points you make. Hes good at that.

Last edited by Vilham (2007-12-09 08:23:25)

Shocking
sorry you feel that way
+333|6436|...

Vilham wrote:

http://forums.bf2s.com/viewtopic.php?id=31479&p=24

thats the thread.

Ill leave bert to destroy any points you make. Hes good at that.
Aight I was browsing through the other threads but I'm on page 5 now and all I've read so far is that

1 we should do something and stop bitching (pretty much)

2 everyone who doesn't and says it's anything else than humans is an arrogant-son-of-a-bitch. (Which I've read in the past 10 threads before I saw this one)

So yeah that doesn't exactly convince me it's all humans' fault the earth is heating, I do agree that we play a role as I've said in my previous post but there's more to it.
inane little opines
Vilham
Say wat!?
+580|7203|UK
Read the whole thing. Alot of it does involve bitching, but there are some very good posts in there by some people.
Shocking
sorry you feel that way
+333|6436|...

Bertster7 wrote:

dayarath wrote:

Not too long ago I saw on the news that the slight warming of the earth has uncovered spots emitting a vast amount of methane into our air heating it up a bit more, which can make way for more catastrophic effects, this is a combination of probably greenhouse gasses sun activity and volcanoes.

http://www.handpen.com/Bio/volcanis.gif

Volcano activity has become more the past time and no, volcanoes don't only emitt CO2 but alot more gasses which seem to be harmfull for our planet, such as water vapor , and sulfur dioxide.
You do realise that volcanic eruptions have a positive overall effect on climate change, slowing the rate of global warming. It's to do with ash clouds blocking out sunlight.

Volcanic eruptions can enhance global warming by adding CO2 to the atmosphere. However, a far greater amount of CO2 is contributed to the atmosphere by human activities each year than by volcanic eruptions. T.M.Gerlach (1991, American Geophysical Union) notes that human-made CO2 are dwarfed the estamated global release of CO2 from volcanoes by at least 150 times. The small amount of global warming caused by eruption-generated greenhouse gases is offset by the far greater amount of global cooling caused by eruption-generated particles in the stratosphere (the haze effect). Greenhouse warming of the earth has been particularly evident since 1980. Without the cooling influence of such eruptions as El Chichon (1982) and Mt. Pinatubo (1991), described below, greenhouse warming would have been more pronounced.
http://www.geology.sdsu.edu/how_volcano … fects.html
With the ashes I don't know, the sun beams don't hit the ground but neither do they leave the atmosphere if the ashes are underneath that.

By the way, the quote you're taking is only talking about CO2 which I'm getting tired of, it's as if people see CO2 as the only contributor to global warming while it's definately not, and especially not the most dangerous. I said volcanoes also emitt water vapor etc which is more harmfull than CO2, as is methane (not emitted by volcanoes)

Last edited by dayarath (2007-12-09 08:37:58)

inane little opines
Bertster7
Confused Pothead
+1,101|7018|SE London

dayarath wrote:

Bertster7 wrote:

dayarath wrote:

Not too long ago I saw on the news that the slight warming of the earth has uncovered spots emitting a vast amount of methane into our air heating it up a bit more, which can make way for more catastrophic effects, this is a combination of probably greenhouse gasses sun activity and volcanoes.

http://www.handpen.com/Bio/volcanis.gif

Volcano activity has become more the past time and no, volcanoes don't only emitt CO2 but alot more gasses which seem to be harmfull for our planet, such as water vapor , and sulfur dioxide.
You do realise that volcanic eruptions have a positive overall effect on climate change, slowing the rate of global warming. It's to do with ash clouds blocking out sunlight.

Volcanic eruptions can enhance global warming by adding CO2 to the atmosphere. However, a far greater amount of CO2 is contributed to the atmosphere by human activities each year than by volcanic eruptions. T.M.Gerlach (1991, American Geophysical Union) notes that human-made CO2 are dwarfed the estamated global release of CO2 from volcanoes by at least 150 times. The small amount of global warming caused by eruption-generated greenhouse gases is offset by the far greater amount of global cooling caused by eruption-generated particles in the stratosphere (the haze effect). Greenhouse warming of the earth has been particularly evident since 1980. Without the cooling influence of such eruptions as El Chichon (1982) and Mt. Pinatubo (1991), described below, greenhouse warming would have been more pronounced.
http://www.geology.sdsu.edu/how_volcano … fects.html
With the ashes I don't know, the sun beams don't hit the ground but neither do they leave the atmosphere if the ashes are underneath that.
No, you don't know, clearly. But the scientists who have demonstrated that climate shifts triggered by various eruptions fit with observed climate models do know. The haze effect is quite an important factor in modelling global warming, a much greater factor than solar variation certainly - at least according to the IPCC models (which are the most definitive available).

That other global warming thread gets interesting around page 12....
Shocking
sorry you feel that way
+333|6436|...

Bertster7 wrote:

dayarath wrote:

Bertster7 wrote:


You do realise that volcanic eruptions have a positive overall effect on climate change, slowing the rate of global warming. It's to do with ash clouds blocking out sunlight.


http://www.geology.sdsu.edu/how_volcano … fects.html
With the ashes I don't know, the sun beams don't hit the ground but neither do they leave the atmosphere if the ashes are underneath that.
No, you don't know, clearly. But the scientists who have demonstrated that climate shifts triggered by various eruptions fit with observed climate models do know. The haze effect is quite an important factor in modelling global warming, a much greater factor than solar variation certainly - at least according to the IPCC models (which are the most definitive available).

That other global warming thread gets interesting around page 12....
Well the general idea of that thread is to say that humans enhance the effect already being caused by other factors which is not what I tried to disprove, I was going over the bull that it's only humans making this earth worse.

We can ofc still reduce the effect but I don't think we'll be able to stop it fully to make the global warming effect become less, we'd have to shut down about 90% of our industry to make that happen.

btw read edit above regarding the quote

Last edited by dayarath (2007-12-09 08:41:55)

inane little opines
Spearhead
Gulf coast redneck hippy
+731|7127|Tampa Bay Florida

dayarath wrote:

The earth is heating up but that doesn't say the global warming arguments (aka; it's our fault) are real, we've only been studying this planet's weather patterns for a very short time, 250 million years ago the earth was about 60 degrees hotter on average, and there were no cars or humans involved back then so how did that happen?

We aren't sure wether it's us or another of the earth it's cycles in temperature, all we know that it's getting hotter for a majority of unknown reasons. Everyone tries to disprove eachother, one side saying it's not and the other side it's all human faults, but it's too early to judge and we don't have sufficient information to say for sure.

So, yes I agree that the earth is getting slightly warmer but saying it's obviously our fault is bull, whilst we don't have enough to prove that.
Isnt that the easy way out though?  Why not just work to lower CO2 emissions anyway? 

Whats accomplished from thinking there's nothing we can do about it and we're fucked anyway = nothing

Whats accomplished if we stop arguing over whether or not GW is real and just get better fuels anyway = no more independence from foreign oil, less pollution, the list goes on and on.

I just don't see why you're so against the fact that things need to change.  Fuck global warming, I don't care if we caused it or its just the environment changing.  The real fact is that we're running out of oil, and the sooner we find something to replace it, the better.
Bertster7
Confused Pothead
+1,101|7018|SE London

dayarath wrote:

Bertster7 wrote:

dayarath wrote:


With the ashes I don't know, the sun beams don't hit the ground but neither do they leave the atmosphere if the ashes are underneath that.
No, you don't know, clearly. But the scientists who have demonstrated that climate shifts triggered by various eruptions fit with observed climate models do know. The haze effect is quite an important factor in modelling global warming, a much greater factor than solar variation certainly - at least according to the IPCC models (which are the most definitive available).

That other global warming thread gets interesting around page 12....
Well the general idea of that thread is to say that humans enhance the effect already being caused by other factors which is not what I tried to disprove, I was going over the bull that it's only humans making this earth worse.

We can ofc still reduce the effect but I don't think we'll be able to stop it fully to make the global warming effect become less, we'd have to shut down about 90% of our industry to make that happen.

btw read edit above regarding the quote
Of course it's not only caused by sources of anthropogenic origin. There is plenty of evidence that shows global warming and cooling to be cyclic. There is also plenty of evidence showing the rate of changes throughout history (vostock ice core samples and such like).

You seem to be putting together bits of science and personal opinion without giving any of it real thought. Perhaps if you were to read a proper report on it, like this one:

http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/wg1-report.html

As regards your amendment to your earlier post, you're completely failing to look at the bigger picture. When big volcanic eruptions occur, observed changes in the global climate (global cooling) fit with the models demonstrating that the haze effect leads to global cooling and that large volcanic eruptions have a net effect of slowing the rate of global warming (they also trigger slight winter warming, though that is offset by the overall tropospheric cooling). For example, Mt. Pinatubo erupted in 1991 - 1992 was then the coolest year for 30 years.
konfusion
mostly afk
+480|6987|CH/BR - in UK

We can only gain from being aware of this, in the long run. If we don't try, we're fucked anyways. The only people who win, are the current generation, who will make their last couple of millions before they die - and leave everyone else to their fates. Is that what we should do? Ignore our future?

-konfusion
ELITE-UK
Scratching my back
+170|6911|SHEFFIELD, ENGLAND
So you can honestly say that all the humans on this planet and all the shit we are pumping into the atmosphere...around 20-40 BILLION tonnes a year is having no effect on our planet?

Last edited by ELITE-UK (2007-12-09 09:34:35)

M.O.A.B
'Light 'em up!'
+1,220|6660|Escea

People do realise there's two terms for it right? Global Warming (Natural) and Enhanced Global Warming (Human affected) right? Just thought I'd throw that into the mix.

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