Estimated Delegates: 74
We’re almost three hours away, I believe, from the polls closing but some data’s already trickling in. The early signs — change over experience, 27% turnout among independents (63-34 for Obama, per Fox), no meaningful margin on the C-in-C question — bode ill. Megyn Kelly’s on now and says Hillary won women … by only two points, and unions … by only one point.
Info from our trusty pals at CBS News this electorate is very white; only four in ten have a "college degree." They're "less affluent" than Dems in other states. The percentage of late deciders is declining: only 27% made up their minds within the last seven days.
-- Issue number one is, of course, the economy, followed by health care... adding the economy and health care brings you to nearly 70% of the electorate.
-- Change trumps experience, 52 to 24.
-- Very few first time voters -- only 17%.
-- 27% of the electorate were independent
-- Clinton was seen as the most unfair attacker;
-- Obama (55%) was seen as the candidate most like to improve relations with the res tof the world.
-- Clinton and Obama are seen as equally qualified to be commander in chief (50% and 48%), while Obama draws 60% or more on the questions of who best can unite the country and beat the Republicans.
- Predictions: Democratic officials with access to exit polls say Sen. Obama looks like he’s headed for a huge win in today’s Wisconsin primary. The polls could turn out to be off, as they have in the past. But the officials’ revelation reflects the chatter in the campaigns in advance of the 9 p.m. Eastern poll closing.
Cool
- Update:Hillary set for “contrast” speech. “It’s about picking a president who relies not just on words – but on work, hard work, to get America back to work. Someone who’s not just in the speeches business – but will get America back in the solutions business.”
Contrast
- Exit polls are out. 55-43, according to MSNBC. Obama wins men by 26 points and white men by 21 points, and white voters overall 53-46..
Can't wait
- Here we go. At 9:19, Fox, MSNBC, CNN, all call it for Obama.
Champ
Obama Won:
Women (51-49)
All age groups under 65
All education levels
All regions of the state -- urban, suburban and rural
Voters without college degrees (50-48)
Democrats (50-49)
Whites (53-46)
White men (59-38)
Voters who decided in the last week (58-42)
Won or tied voters of all income levels
Tied among white women
Tied among union members
Tied among union households
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