liquix
Member
+51|6878|Peoples Republic of Portland
i personally doubt it will be anything in our lifetimes. bummer. Corn ethanol is a silly venture, as nitrogen fertilizer comes from ng/petrol, and it's yield takes away from food producing lands. Hydrogen is not superb, simply because right now it takes a lot of infrastructure and power to separate water into hydrogen. Another issues is storage, which is pretty damn difficult for hydrogen. Electric would be nice, if you could charge your vehicle quickly in order to make long trips possible (super capacitor maybe?) Solar energy to produce electricity to power a vehicle is a great idea, current solar tech does not generate enough power yet though.

My favorite bet, which is a looong ways out, is fusion. Matter to energy is the end-all of power production in my book, if only you could turn matter into pure energy

The likeliest scenario to me is alternative methods like cycling (go portland) and drastic reduction in miles driven per individual. This transition is most difficult for America, since we drive a long ways to everything. Probably going to take people moving closer to cities, maybe having a garden of their own to counteract insane food prices as petroleum prices rise. I would like to see telecommuting taking precedence over coming to the office five days a week, since that infrastructure is already there for about 68% of us.
blademaster
I'm moving to Brazil
+2,075|7069
Also some other notable facts: modern technology affected by petrolium.

Automobiles:

The construction of an average car consumes the energy equivalent of approximately 20 barrels (840 gallons) of oil.source

It's also worth nothing that the construction of an average car consumes almost 120,000 gallons of fresh water.source

Fresh water is also rapidly depleting and happens to be absolutely essential to the petroleum refining process as each gallon of gasoline requires almost two gallons of fresh water for refining.source

Computers:

The construction of the average desktop computer consumes ten times its weight in fossil fuels.source

Microchips:

The production of one gram of microchips consumes 630 grams of fossil fuels. According to the American Chemical Society, the construction of single 32 megabyte DRAM chip requires 3.5 pounds of fossil fuels in addition to 70.5 pounds of water. source

The Internet:

Contrary to popular belief, the internet consumes tremendous amounts of energy. Author John Michael Greer explains:

The explosive spread of the internet, finally, was also a product of the era
of ultracheap energy. The hardware of the internet, with its worldwide
connections, its vast server farms, and its billions of interlinked home and
business computers, probably counts as the largest infrastructure project
ever created and deployed in a two decade period in history. The sheer
amount of energy that's been been invested to create and sustain the
internet beggars the imagination.source

Recent estimates indicate the infrastructure necessary to support the internet consumes 10% of all the electricity produced in the United States.
source

Nuclear energy requires uranium, which is also discovered, extracted, and transported using oil powered machinery.Most of the feedstock (soybeans, corn) for biofuels such as biodiesel and ethanol are grown using the high-tech, oil-powered industrial methods of agriculturesource

In short, the so called "alternatives" to oil are actually "derivatives" of oil.

Analyst John Michael Greer offers the following rather lucid explanation of this often over-looked relationship:
. . . every other energy source currently used in modern societies gets a substantial "energy subsidy" from oil. The energy used in uranium mining and reactor construction, for example, comes from diesel rather than nuclear power, just as sunlight doesn’t make solar panels. What rarely seems to have been noticed is the way these "energy subsidies" intersect with the challenges of declining petroleum production to [preemptievely sabotage] the future of alternative energy production in industrial societiessource
d4rkst4r
biggie smalls
+72|6877|Ontario, Canada
Basically, oil is going to constantly go up in price until there is no middle class and everyone is poor, then there will be only mass transportation.
"you know life is what we make it, and a chance is like a picture, it'd be nice if you just take it"
Ender2309
has joined the GOP
+470|6995|USA
for cars? probably hydrogen fuel cells using solar energy to split the hydrogen.

for us? probably solar electricity, along with wind, hydroelectric, tidal and in some places nuclear and natural gas. also coal until that goes the way of the oil supply.
B.Schuss
I'm back, baby... ( sort of )
+664|7265|Cologne, Germany

The#1Spot wrote:

B.Schuss wrote:

on a global scale, only electricity from solar power has the potential to be an energy source for all of mankind.

It is cheap, available everywhere, and the technology to make good use of it is already very well developed.

A couple of solar power plants in the north african desert would be enough to supply the whole world with electricity.

and the earlier we start putting some serious money into research, the earlier we will be able to show those middle eastern towelheads the finger..
Who are you going to hire that will be sane enough to maintain the plants.
well, how about those that are already in the energy business ? I mean, solar energy is just another form of creating power/electricity.
Why would those companies that run power plants now shy away from solar power plants ?
Everyone needs electricity, and whoever can supply it, will make a huge buck, regardless of the way it is produced.
jason85
Banned
+58|6421|Mesa, AZ
I'd say do the whole "coal to oil" thing. If the Nazis could stay afloat on that, we could, not to mention probably do it better because 60 some odd years have passed.
globefish23
sophisticated slacker
+334|6748|Graz, Austria

DonFck wrote:

People tend to forget that gasoline is only a fraction of all oilbased products.

For instance, people, look around your room. How many things plastic do you see?
Absolutely true.

Also think about the chemical and pharmaceutical industry.
And frankly, I think we should save the remaining oil for aviation and astronautics, as I don't see any alternative propulsion system for those aspects anytime soon.
Land and sea-based travel on the other hand can easily switched to alternatives.
Mekstizzle
WALKER
+3,611|7045|London, England

blademaster wrote:

In short, the so called "alternatives" to oil are actually "derivatives" of oil.
That's why you cut out the Oil (and by Oil, I mean the Oil-as-fuel part, which is the main use)

Electric machinery. With batteries charged by electricity generated from the various other non-fossil sources of power. It's not going to cut out our fossil-oil addiction completely, but it would make us much less dependant.
SEREMAKER
BABYMAKIN EXPERT √
+2,187|6992|Mountains of NC

https://zedomax.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2007/09/mr_fusion.jpg
https://static.bf2s.com/files/user/17445/carhartt.jpg
Icleos
Member
+101|7166
How much do you think one of those Mr. Fusions would go for?
Ender2309
has joined the GOP
+470|6995|USA

jason85 wrote:

I'd say do the whole "coal to oil" thing. If the Nazis could stay afloat on that, we could, not to mention probably do it better because 60 some odd years have passed.
coal to oil is a net energy loss, if i remember correctly. if its not, it nearly is.

its just simply unsustainable.
jason85
Banned
+58|6421|Mesa, AZ

Ender2309 wrote:

jason85 wrote:

I'd say do the whole "coal to oil" thing. If the Nazis could stay afloat on that, we could, not to mention probably do it better because 60 some odd years have passed.
coal to oil is a net energy loss, if i remember correctly. if its not, it nearly is.

its just simply unsustainable.
from what i hear on the news, it could actually be a viable source of fuel, and they probably wouldn't be talking about it if we would lose more energy than it would take to produce, or nearly, as you say. the only real negative thing i have heard so far is that it is just expensive, but that is probably because we don't have the infrastructure to do it cheaply.
B.Schuss
I'm back, baby... ( sort of )
+664|7265|Cologne, Germany

I don't think any energy ressource that comes from biomass ( i.e. bio ethanol, or any other sort of plant that needs to be harvested ) is going to work on a global level. We simply do not have enough agricultural space available to supply the world population with food and produce enough biomass at the same time, especially considering world population growth.

Literally hundreds of millions of people in China and India are going to ba able to afford cars in the coming decades. Biomass is not going to do it.

As I said, the only energy ressource that is cheap, sustainable, renewable, and available is solar energy.
Look at this article about TREC. solar energy has the potential to solve all of mankind's energy problems, if we put our heart to it.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trans-Medi … ooperation

especially, check out the pics from the DLR.
FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6835|'Murka

But isn't a small fraction of the available arable land actually being used (cba to find the numbers)? Seem to remember a blurb to that effect from some documentaries recently...
“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular
Nappy
Apprentice
+151|6653|NSW, Australia

get tanks to shove up our ass to collect fart gas



sorry.
jason85
Banned
+58|6421|Mesa, AZ

Nappy wrote:

get tanks to shove up our ass to collect fart gas



sorry.
not really a bad idea, using methane. i'd hate having to fart into a tube all the time, but I heard about solid methane that forms deep in the ocean. i think it is called hyrdite, although i'm not really sure of the name. i guess experts estimate that there are huge amounts to be found and could be used for fuel.

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