Poll

How long do you think this will take to find a resolution?

Never, or until Hell freezes over.30%30% - 8
Less than a year.7%7% - 2
More than a year.15%15% - 4
Once they relocate and hide the good shite!15%15% - 4
When GWB leaves office, its all his fault anyways!30%30% - 8
Total: 26
FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6833|'Murka

CameronPoe wrote:

The EU, Russia and CHina never declared that 'all options were on the table' or that military action was a possibility. Not yet anyway. And not ever in the case of China or Russia in this instance. Unlike the US. To 'warmonger' one has to threaten the use of force. The US are warmongering against Iran in the same vain that Iran is warmongering against Israel (although again Iran are just spouting rhetoric, knowing full well they don't have the military capacity to take Israel on).

PS Even if the EU did begin warmongering there would be no double standard: I would condemn it.
Saying that military options are not off the table is not a threat of military force, so it is not warmongering.

Sarkozy himself said just the other day that diplomacy without the backing of a relevant military is powerless. By openly taking military options off the table, you are engaging in diplomacy from a position of weakness--there's nothing to fall back on if diplomacy fails.

Sounds like you're saying there should be preconditions for negotiations...but only if those conditions are concessions from some country other than Iran.

The only threats have been threats of sanctions. And those have been made by the EU, Russia, China, and the US.
“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular
FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6833|'Murka

rammunition wrote:

FEOS wrote:

CameronPoe wrote:

Never. The EU, Russia and China have too many vested interests in Iran. Russia selling anti-missile systems, China buying oil and EU companies investing in the country means all of this posturing is pure theatre.
So this is pure rhetoric, but when the US says anything, it's warmongering. Nice double standard.
its a fact, the U.S loves drinking blood

http://forums.bf2s.com/viewtopic.php?id=98872&p=1
Referencing your own flawed argument repeatedly does not make it any less wrong...but it is a bit pretentious.

And I must have missed the vat o' blood at lunch today. I'll ask around and see if I can find it tomorrow.
“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular
JahManRed
wank
+646|7050|IRELAND

They will never invade. They will cripple them with sanctions, which will kill thousands of children and ensure that they cant refine any of their own oil and will radicalise the nation. They will never be allowed to grow and evolve as a nation and will remain suspicious of the west. If they can't refine their own oil they won't grow to be a super power in the middle east and therefore won't financially or militarily threaten Israel and the USA's imperial aspirations for the area.

In the end Iran will attack the west when they are backed into a corner and held back for years and have no options left.
I genuinely pity the Innocent ppl of Iran who will be made suffer, judging by the current saber rattling.
FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6833|'Murka

JahManRed wrote:

They will never invade. They will cripple them with sanctions, which will kill thousands of children and ensure that they cant refine any of their own oil and will radicalise the nation. They will never be allowed to grow and evolve as a nation and will remain suspicious of the west. If they can't refine their own oil they won't grow to be a super power in the middle east and therefore won't financially or militarily threaten Israel and the USA's imperial aspirations for the area.

In the end Iran will attack the west when they are backed into a corner and held back for years and have no options left.
I genuinely pity the Innocent ppl of Iran who will be made suffer, judging by the current saber rattling.
The sanctions will only kill children if the Iranian leadership actively diverts funds intended for food and medicine away from those who need it (a la Saddam). It wasn't the sanctions that did that to those people...it was their country's leaders.

And again...no saber rattling. Everything is being done through diplomatic channels and Iran is thumbing their nose at the UN, EU, Russia, China, and the US despite offers of help in developing Iran's stated goal of peaceful nuclear power.
“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular
CameronPoe
Member
+2,925|6977

FEOS wrote:

Saying that military options are not off the table is not a threat of military force, so it is not warmongering.

Sarkozy himself said just the other day that diplomacy without the backing of a relevant military is powerless. By openly taking military options off the table, you are engaging in diplomacy from a position of weakness--there's nothing to fall back on if diplomacy fails.

Sounds like you're saying there should be preconditions for negotiations...but only if those conditions are concessions from some country other than Iran.

The only threats have been threats of sanctions. And those have been made by the EU, Russia, China, and the US.
Well I guess it's because I disagree with the principle of denying Iran the ability to defend itself from a western world that has long tried to undermine its sovereignty. In principle, I am in favour of Iranian nuclear weapons. I will make no bones about that. I find it hypocritical of us to try and stymie them when nothing was done to stymie Israel or China or India or Pakistan and the west themselves hold gigantic nuclear arsenals. The Iranian approach at achieveing this is their best bet because if they withdraw from the NPT or stop contact with the IAEA altogether it is a green light for a western excuse to fuck them up. This nonsense about Iran trying to take over the world or the concept that they would sacrfice their own nation to blow up an essentially irrelevant-to-Iran Israel is exactly that: nonsense.
PureFodder
Member
+225|6707

CameronPoe wrote:

FEOS wrote:

Saying that military options are not off the table is not a threat of military force, so it is not warmongering.

Sarkozy himself said just the other day that diplomacy without the backing of a relevant military is powerless. By openly taking military options off the table, you are engaging in diplomacy from a position of weakness--there's nothing to fall back on if diplomacy fails.

Sounds like you're saying there should be preconditions for negotiations...but only if those conditions are concessions from some country other than Iran.

The only threats have been threats of sanctions. And those have been made by the EU, Russia, China, and the US.
Well I guess it's because I disagree with the principle of denying Iran the ability to defend itself from a western world that has long tried to undermine its sovereignty. In principle, I am in favour of Iranian nuclear weapons. I will make no bones about that. I find it hypocritical of us to try and stymie them when nothing was done to stymie Israel or China or India or Pakistan and the west themselves hold gigantic nuclear arsenals. The Iranian approach at achieveing this is their best bet because if they withdraw from the NPT or stop contact with the IAEA altogether it is a green light for a western excuse to fuck them up. This nonsense about Iran trying to take over the world or the concept that they would sacrfice their own nation to blow up an essentially irrelevant-to-Iran Israel is exactly that: nonsense.
Personally I'm against Iran getting nuclear weapons, it sends a direct and horrible message to the rest of the world. If it encourages other countries to get them it'll be another step toward the end of the species.

I do agree that the idea of Iran actually using a nuke offensively or even giving one to terrorists is so unfathomably stupid you have to worry about the people suggesting it.
FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6833|'Murka

I don't think the concern with Iran is necessarily (from the US perspective) that they will start lobbing nukes. I believe the concern is that they will provide one or more of their proxies with a nuke instead.

Three of those countries you listed aren't signatories to the NPT, and China developed their weapons prior to the NPT being enacted, so the comparison is moot.
“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular
FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6833|'Murka

PureFodder wrote:

I do agree that the idea of Iran actually using a nuke offensively or even giving one to terrorists is so unfathomably stupid you have to worry about the people suggesting it.
Never count on your adversary not being stupid or acting in a manner contrary to what you perceive to be their own self-interest. Goes back to planning for both Most Likely and Most Dangerous courses of action.
“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular
CameronPoe
Member
+2,925|6977

FEOS wrote:

I don't think the concern with Iran is necessarily (from the US perspective) that they will start lobbing nukes. I believe the concern is that they will provide one or more of their proxies with a nuke instead.

Three of those countries you listed aren't signatories to the NPT, and China developed their weapons prior to the NPT being enacted, so the comparison is moot.
The comparison isn't entirely moot. Albeit a gross transgression of sovereignty, it would have seemed to be in the wests interest to curb Chinese nuclear capabilities given their openly expansionist communist principles during those decades. The Chinese got away with it because they were sufficiently secretive about their program. Had the west suspected then they would have been far more pro-active in preventing them acquiring nuclear weapons. Iran is in the same position China would have been had suspicion existed over China. The only difference is that Iran is not territorially expansionist in either their rhetoric or through their actions.

I might add that on an analogous microscopic level the NPT would be similar to denying Americans the right to bear arms (form militias), a right ostensibly designed to prevent despotic government or external threat. On an international level this means that the military capability of countries is being curbed to serve the interests of the existing world elite and preserve their superior status: the west, Russia, China and a few others. Not a fair state of affairs if you ask me. You might ask - 'but it's an agreement that Iran signed up to voluntarily!' to which I would respond: Iran signed the NPT while under the control of its US stooge - Reza Shah Pahlavi - in 1968.

Last edited by CameronPoe (2008-06-25 03:15:09)

Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,822|6528|eXtreme to the maX
Never count on your adversary not being stupid or acting in a manner contrary to what you perceive to be their own self-interest.
Iran is only a US 'adversary' because the US continually messes with Iran.
Picking a fight with someone and then trying to tell them they aren't allowed to defend themselves is the sort of thing three-year-olds do.
Fuck Israel
FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6833|'Murka

Dilbert_X wrote:

Never count on your adversary not being stupid or acting in a manner contrary to what you perceive to be their own self-interest.
Iran is only a US 'adversary' because the US continually messes with Iran.
Picking a fight with someone and then trying to tell them they aren't allowed to defend themselves is the sort of thing three-year-olds do.
You need to read more.

Who's picking a fight with Iran? You still cannot point to any direct threats that have been made against them by the US or anyone else (other than maybe Israel).
“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular
FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6833|'Murka

CameronPoe wrote:

FEOS wrote:

I don't think the concern with Iran is necessarily (from the US perspective) that they will start lobbing nukes. I believe the concern is that they will provide one or more of their proxies with a nuke instead.

Three of those countries you listed aren't signatories to the NPT, and China developed their weapons prior to the NPT being enacted, so the comparison is moot.
The comparison isn't entirely moot. Albeit a gross transgression of sovereignty, it would have seemed to be in the wests interest to curb Chinese nuclear capabilities given their openly expansionist communist principles during those decades. The Chinese got away with it because they were sufficiently secretive about their program. Had the west suspected then they would have been far more pro-active in preventing them acquiring nuclear weapons. Iran is in the same position China would have been had suspicion existed over China. The only difference is that Iran is not territorially expansionist in either their rhetoric or through their actions.

I might add that on an analogous microscopic level the NPT would be similar to denying Americans the right to bear arms (form militias), a right ostensibly designed to prevent despotic government or external threat. On an international level this means that the military capability of countries is being curbed to serve the interests of the existing world elite and preserve their superior status: the west, Russia, China and a few others. Not a fair state of affairs if you ask me. You might ask - 'but it's an agreement that Iran signed up to voluntarily!' to which I would respond: Iran signed the NPT while under the control of its US stooge - Reza Shah Pahlavi - in 1968.
China's nuke weapon program preceded much of the concerns that drove the NPT, so using China as an example doesn't fit the argument.

If Iran doesn't feel they are bound by a treaty that the Shah signed, they can always withdraw...it's not like they're following it anyway.
“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular
CameronPoe
Member
+2,925|6977

FEOS wrote:

If Iran doesn't feel they are bound by a treaty that the Shah signed, they can always withdraw...it's not like they're following it anyway.
You know as well as I do that that would be a tactical blunder and propaganda coup for the west.
Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,822|6528|eXtreme to the maX
Who's picking a fight with Iran? You still cannot point to any direct threats that have been made against them by the US or anyone else (other than maybe Israel).
That would be the sanctions backed up by threat of military force, and obviously Israel.
Plus the US taking sides with Iraq for the duration of the Iran-Iraq war.
Anyway, you're the one calling them an adversary.

Last edited by Dilbert_X (2008-06-25 06:24:39)

Fuck Israel
FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6833|'Murka

Dilbert_X wrote:

That would be the sanctions backed up by threat of military force, and obviously Israel.
There's been no threat of military force, only a threat of sanctions...by the EU, Russia, China, and the US.

I thought we all agreed that countries have the right to defend themselves. Or is that only if it's not Israel?

Dilbert_X wrote:

Plus the US taking sides with Iran for the duration of the Iran-Iraq war.
The US took sides with Iraq, not Iran. Immediately after Iran had held US citizens for 444 days. It was the lesser of two evils at the time...which was more than twenty years ago. And irrelevant to the issue at hand.

You still haven't pointed out a single instance of a threat of military action against Iran by the US.
“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular
usmarine2
Banned
+233|6213|Dublin, Ohio

Dilbert_X wrote:

Plus the US taking sides with Iraq for the duration of the Iran-Iraq war.
eh?
God Save the Queen
Banned
+628|6765|tropical regions of london

Dilbert_X wrote:

Never count on your adversary not being stupid or acting in a manner contrary to what you perceive to be their own self-interest.
Iran is only a US 'adversary' because the US continually messes with Iran.
Picking a fight with someone and then trying to tell them they aren't allowed to defend themselves is the sort of thing three-year-olds do.
we took sides?  you ever heard of Oliver North?
FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6833|'Murka

When have we "continually messed with Iran"?
“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular
PureFodder
Member
+225|6707

FEOS wrote:

PureFodder wrote:

I do agree that the idea of Iran actually using a nuke offensively or even giving one to terrorists is so unfathomably stupid you have to worry about the people suggesting it.
Never count on your adversary not being stupid or acting in a manner contrary to what you perceive to be their own self-interest. Goes back to planning for both Most Likely and Most Dangerous courses of action.
Planning for the most dangerous course of action would bar an attack on Iran as many have predicted it could lead to WWIII.

Khamenei has shown little indications at all of outward violent hostility, let alone brazen desire to commit sucide along with the entire Iranian populace. His actions fit a picture of trying to advance Iran with a fairly sensible view and understanding of the rest of the world. Iran is certainly not a nice place, but I'd trust him in charge of a nuke way more than I would have trusted most Russian or NK leaders.
When have we "continually messed with Iran"?
When we overthrew their democracy, installed and supported a brutal dictatorship for a few decades, once he was overthrown, tried another coup, supported Saddam in his war against Iran in which he used chemical weapons and killed close to a million Iranians, then continued to impose economic sanction on them.

The question should be 'when haven't we constantly messed with Iran?'
FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6833|'Murka

PureFodder wrote:

FEOS wrote:

PureFodder wrote:

I do agree that the idea of Iran actually using a nuke offensively or even giving one to terrorists is so unfathomably stupid you have to worry about the people suggesting it.
Never count on your adversary not being stupid or acting in a manner contrary to what you perceive to be their own self-interest. Goes back to planning for both Most Likely and Most Dangerous courses of action.
Planning for the most dangerous course of action would bar an attack on Iran as many have predicted it could lead to WWIII.
You plan for the adversary's most dangerous course of action.

PureFodder wrote:

When have we "continually messed with Iran"?
When we overthrew their democracy, installed and supported a brutal dictatorship for a few decades, once he was overthrown, tried another coup, supported Saddam in his war against Iran in which he used chemical weapons and killed close to a million Iranians, then continued to impose economic sanction on them.

The question should be 'when haven't we constantly messed with Iran?'
Because they have been completely lily-white, right?

Worry about your own house WRT that little flare up:

wiki wrote:

According to Iraq's report to the UN, the know-how and material for developing chemical weapons were obtained from the United States, West Germany, the United Kingdom, France and the People's Republic of China.[53][clarify]

In December 2002, Iraq's 1,200 page Weapons Declaration revealed a list of Eastern and Western corporations and countries, as well as individuals, that exported a total of 17,602 tons of chemical precursors to Iraq in the past two decades. By far, the largest suppliers of precursors for chemical weapons production were in Singapore (4,515 tons), the Netherlands (4,261 tons), Egypt (2,400 tons), India (2,343 tons), and Federal Republic of Germany (1,027 tons). One Indian company, Exomet Plastics (now part of EPC Industrie) sent 2,292 tons of precursor chemicals to Iraq. The Kim Al-Khaleej firm, located in Singapore and affiliated to United Arab Emirates, supplied more than 4,500 tons of VX, sarin, and mustard gas precursors and production equipment to Iraq.[54]
Why do you think we (and European countries, as well) supported Iraq against them? Has to do with the hostages they held for 444 days and their "Great Satan" bullshit.

Sanctions are from the UN, not from a single country. When it's a single country, it's trade policy. If other UNSC countries didn't feel the sanctions were warranted, they could always vote against them. But for some reason, they felt Iran needed punishing. Why is that, do you think?
“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular

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