M.O.A.B. wrote:
The thing is though, the ME can't afford to lose Western interests, its the only thing keeping them going. Take Dubai for example, originally survived on oil, now on tourism and its probs one of the most popular places to go. There's nothign to say the rest of the ME can't do that, but in order to they need Western influence and investors. I don't think that the regular Iraqis would have been able to overthrow Saddam either, his troops were poorly led to begin with so the civilians were likely even less organised and would have been terrified to make a move. Now, with Western training, weapons, equipment, they can start to take control in a better way than Saddam ever would and maintain it without having to resort to fear tactics.
the middle east is not going to lose western interest, as long as they have oil, i.e. for at least another generation, maybe more. After that, as you said, they'll simply have to figure out a different way to feed their people. Resources aren't evenly split among people of all nations. Nothing you can do about that. Learn , adapt, overcome.
Germany, for example, hasn't had any oil to profit from, and yet we have managed to make a name for ourselves economically.
If the people of the middle east can find business models outside of the oil, there is every indication western influence and western money will remain in the region.
About the ability of the iraquis to overthrow Saddam themselves..well, I don't know. The history of revolutions has shown that any nation can overthrow a corrupt or fascist government, if they really want it. And by "want it" I mean the will to sacrifice themselves for the sake of their country's future. Giving your life so that future generations can live in peace and freedom.
Of course, that has gotten more difficult, as technology has progressed, and fascist regimes and dictators have much more tools to control their people today, than back in the days, but still, germany in '89 showed that it can be done. And believe me, east germany was a very sophisticated totalitarian regime.
And who would have believed that one day, the british colonies in north america would surpass Britain in world domination ?
Nothing is impossible. Granted, you need the right people at the right time, but apart from that, it's totally in every man's own hands.