CameronPoe
Member
+2,925|6975

Ender2309 wrote:

dude....you're totally wrong. population increases as economic growth happens. it causes a fall in mortality which results in a growth of population.
When an economy develops and people become more affluent there tends to be a dirth of people to fill the menial but necessary 'bottom-of-the-barrel' jobs. Who should fill them? Where will these people come from?
kylef
Gone
+1,352|6913|N. Ireland

CameronPoe wrote:

Ender2309 wrote:

dude....you're totally wrong. population increases as economic growth happens. it causes a fall in mortality which results in a growth of population.
When an economy develops and people become more affluent there tends to be a dirth of people to fill the menial but necessary 'bottom-of-the-barrel' jobs. Who should fill them? Where will these people come from?
In US' case, that'd be Mexicans. Here in Northern Ireland, that'd be Poles.
FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6830|'Murka

kylef wrote:

FEOS wrote:

Not all economic growth relies on a growing population. Economic growth can occur with increased production and export without a markedly increased population. A growing economy does better support a growing population, but the latter is not a requirement for the former.
A country can only achieve economic growth when it is already producing to its maximum potential, and then finds ... say ... a new mineral deposit. Judging from that statement you made it sounds like the country was not producing to its maximum level originally, and so there was no economic growth - just an increase in already-there production.
First, your assertion of what it takes for a country to achieve economic growth is simply wrong. If they are already at their maximum potential, then they aren't growing.

Second, your understanding of my comment is not at all reflective of what I said.
“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular
Ender2309
has joined the GOP
+470|6990|USA

CameronPoe wrote:

Ender2309 wrote:

dude....you're totally wrong. population increases as economic growth happens. it causes a fall in mortality which results in a growth of population.
When an economy develops and people become more affluent there tends to be a dirth of people to fill the menial but necessary 'bottom-of-the-barrel' jobs. Who should fill them? Where will these people come from?
they already exist. it goes like this:

a young population working the fields (like india, for example), has many children because many will die off. then the industrial revolution happens (for india, its mostly charity), and death rates drop first and very quickly. this creates a population boom, because the birth rate hasn't yet dropped to meet the replacement rate (2.1 children per couple, world wide), which tends to happen as a nation industrializes. so the population boomed because the economy did.

the bottom of the barrel jobs get relegated to the poor and the stupid, lazy, or mentally ill. thats the problem with the democratic mindset. too much charity throws off the natural order of society: some poor and some rich must coexist with many middles.
CameronPoe
Member
+2,925|6975

Ender2309 wrote:

]
the bottom of the barrel jobs get relegated to the poor and the stupid, lazy, or mentally ill. thats the problem with the democratic mindset. too much charity throws off the natural order of society: some poor and some rich must coexist with many middles.
In a developed economy there are less of these types of people that you mention and more rich people who use the services these kinds of people provide. How does one fill the jobs?

Last edited by CameronPoe (2008-09-13 17:29:43)

Ender2309
has joined the GOP
+470|6990|USA

CameronPoe wrote:

Ender2309 wrote:

]
the bottom of the barrel jobs get relegated to the poor and the stupid, lazy, or mentally ill. thats the problem with the democratic mindset. too much charity throws off the natural order of society: some poor and some rich must coexist with many middles.
In a developed economy there are less of these types of people that you mention and more rich people who use the services these kinds of people provide. How does one fill the jobs?
it all sorts itself out eventually. some kid with a business degree can't get a job so he works at mcdonalds. people may not want to do the work, but when they have no choice, they will.

edit: also, youth labor fills most of those jobs nicely. and when you consider that robotics is making most manufacturing jobs obsolete, those workers move into other fields.

Last edited by Ender2309 (2008-09-13 17:37:34)

S.Lythberg
Mastermind
+429|6866|Chicago, IL
the world is fast becoming overpopulated, rewarding more children would have serious consequences in coming decades, our population cannot endlessly increase
Ender2309
has joined the GOP
+470|6990|USA

S.Lythberg wrote:

the world is fast becoming overpopulated, rewarding more children would have serious consequences in coming decades, our population cannot endlessly increase
thats the best thing i've heard in this thread. +1
CameronPoe
Member
+2,925|6975

Ender2309 wrote:

CameronPoe wrote:

Ender2309 wrote:

]
the bottom of the barrel jobs get relegated to the poor and the stupid, lazy, or mentally ill. thats the problem with the democratic mindset. too much charity throws off the natural order of society: some poor and some rich must coexist with many middles.
In a developed economy there are less of these types of people that you mention and more rich people who use the services these kinds of people provide. How does one fill the jobs?
it all sorts itself out eventually. some kid with a business degree can't get a job so he works at mcdonalds. people may not want to do the work, but when they have no choice, they will.

edit: also, youth labor fills most of those jobs nicely. and when you consider that robotics is making most manufacturing jobs obsolete, those workers move into other fields.
If that really was the case then your economy, with only about 6% unemployment, would not be employing tens of millions of illegals in many of these menial jobs. Personally I think immigrants today fill the jobs that people in a particular country are, for the most part, unwilling to lower themselves into doing anymore.
Spark
liquid fluoride thorium reactor
+874|7094|Canberra, AUS

Ender2309 wrote:

S.Lythberg wrote:

the world is fast becoming overpopulated, rewarding more children would have serious consequences in coming decades, our population cannot endlessly increase
thats the best thing i've heard in this thread. +1
Except that it's overly simplistic.

There are basically two situations in the world right now.

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/78/Fertility_rate_world_map_2.png

Notice the darker-blue coloration of Europe, the US and Japan.

The US is essentially immune to the pressures of underpopulation (cos of immigration), pressures that are being felt in a big way in Europe. Projected populations show Europe's population FALLING over the next 20 years, and continuing to do so. That's the reason they've had to open the floodgates, the reason many of them have adopted socialistic policies (policies which have traditionally been more effective at population control on either side).

On current trends Europe and Japan is heading for serious social issues in the next century if they don't reverse this.
The paradox is only a conflict between reality and your feeling what reality ought to be.
~ Richard Feynman
Ender2309
has joined the GOP
+470|6990|USA

CameronPoe wrote:

Ender2309 wrote:

CameronPoe wrote:


In a developed economy there are less of these types of people that you mention and more rich people who use the services these kinds of people provide. How does one fill the jobs?
it all sorts itself out eventually. some kid with a business degree can't get a job so he works at mcdonalds. people may not want to do the work, but when they have no choice, they will.

edit: also, youth labor fills most of those jobs nicely. and when you consider that robotics is making most manufacturing jobs obsolete, those workers move into other fields.
If that really was the case then your economy, with only about 6% unemployment, would not be employing tens of millions of illegals in many of these menial jobs. Personally I think immigrants today fill the jobs that people in a particular country are, for the most part, unwilling to lower themselves into doing anymore.
you're right. once they realize they have no chance at survival outside of lowering themselves, however, they will. the reason the unemployment rate is so high is because people expect to get good office jobs and refuse to work outside that environment.
BVC
Member
+325|7115
I think that if every country were to enjoy the same standard of living as the west, we'd see a LOT more automation on every level of society.
..teddy..jimmy
Member
+1,393|7069
I suppose the government will benefit more from immigration because they won't have a bunch of angry natives banging on the door asking for a higher minimum wage. Developed countries enjoy different kind of work in the tertiary sector so I would imagine a huge labor force would be required and we would still, in any case, have the immigrants to do the dirty work for us (as mean as it might sound.).

Government could try and increase incentives for families to have more children but that would, like Jord said, be very Nazi and imo a little intruding. It may also be negative in the sense that people might try and cheat the system having many children and treating them more as a business opportunity rather than how a small child should be treated.
Dilbert_X
The X stands for
+1,822|6525|eXtreme to the maX
The world has finite resources - land, water and eroding resources, oil, coal, iron ore etc.
The last thing this planet needs is more people. If immigrants do the jon then why not?

We need to come up with an economic system which does not rely on exponentially increasing population and consumption to satisfy business needs and aspirations for improved standards of living.

I've done the hard part, over to someone else to sort out the details
Fuck Israel
kylef
Gone
+1,352|6913|N. Ireland

FEOS wrote:

kylef wrote:

FEOS wrote:

Not all economic growth relies on a growing population. Economic growth can occur with increased production and export without a markedly increased population. A growing economy does better support a growing population, but the latter is not a requirement for the former.
A country can only achieve economic growth when it is already producing to its maximum potential, and then finds ... say ... a new mineral deposit. Judging from that statement you made it sounds like the country was not producing to its maximum level originally, and so there was no economic growth - just an increase in already-there production.
First, your assertion of what it takes for a country to achieve economic growth is simply wrong. If they are already at their maximum potential, then they aren't growing.

Second, your understanding of my comment is not at all reflective of what I said.
Economic Growth can only occur when a country is producing at its maximum potential, and then somehow increases that (however if in the case of a quality increase then it is arguable that the country wasn't operating at its maximum potential originally) Sorry, I must have misunderstood your original post. I read in that the country wasn't producing at its maximum potential originally.
Ender2309
has joined the GOP
+470|6990|USA

kylef wrote:

FEOS wrote:

kylef wrote:


A country can only achieve economic growth when it is already producing to its maximum potential, and then finds ... say ... a new mineral deposit. Judging from that statement you made it sounds like the country was not producing to its maximum level originally, and so there was no economic growth - just an increase in already-there production.
First, your assertion of what it takes for a country to achieve economic growth is simply wrong. If they are already at their maximum potential, then they aren't growing.

Second, your understanding of my comment is not at all reflective of what I said.
Economic Growth can only occur when a country is producing at its maximum potential, and then somehow increases that (however if in the case of a quality increase then it is arguable that the country wasn't operating at its maximum potential originally) Sorry, I must have misunderstood your original post. I read in that the country wasn't producing at its maximum potential originally.
so going from 50% of its max potential to 100% isn't economic growth?
kylef
Gone
+1,352|6913|N. Ireland

Ender2309 wrote:

so going from 50% of its max potential to 100% isn't economic growth?
Correct. In true terms, economic growth can only occur when a country was originally operating at its maximum potential.
FEOS
Bellicose Yankee Air Pirate
+1,182|6830|'Murka

kylef wrote:

Ender2309 wrote:

so going from 50% of its max potential to 100% isn't economic growth?
Correct. In true terms, economic growth can only occur when a country was originally operating at its maximum potential.
There is clearly some difference of opinion regarding that claim.

wiki wrote:

Economic growth is the increase in value of the goods and services produced by an economy. It is conventionally measured as the percent rate of increase in real gross domestic product, or real GDP. Growth is usually calculated in real terms, i.e. inflation-adjusted terms, in order to net out the effect of inflation on the price of the goods and services produced. In economics, "economic growth" or "economic growth theory" typically refers to growth of potential output, i.e., production at "full employment," which is caused by growth in aggregate demand or observed output.
“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
― Albert Einstein

Doing the popular thing is not always right. Doing the right thing is not always popular
kylef
Gone
+1,352|6913|N. Ireland

FEOS wrote:

kylef wrote:

Ender2309 wrote:

so going from 50% of its max potential to 100% isn't economic growth?
Correct. In true terms, economic growth can only occur when a country was originally operating at its maximum potential.
There is clearly some difference of opinion regarding that claim.

wiki wrote:

Economic growth is the increase in value of the goods and services produced by an economy. It is conventionally measured as the percent rate of increase in real gross domestic product, or real GDP. Growth is usually calculated in real terms, i.e. inflation-adjusted terms, in order to net out the effect of inflation on the price of the goods and services produced. In economics, "economic growth" or "economic growth theory" typically refers to growth of potential output, i.e., production at "full employment," which is caused by growth in aggregate demand or observed output.
What I learnt for AS Economics was that the true definition of economic growth is what I stated above.

https://i159.photobucket.com/albums/t143/leetkyle/ppf.jpg

A = what we are talking about at the minute. The country was not operating at its maximum potential immediately.
B = the country is now operating at its maximum potential.
C = the country is operating above its maximum potential, due to economic growth

(A>B refers to Point A to Point B, etc)

A>B - not economic growth in its true terms. Country was not operating to its maximum potential.
B>C - economic growth. Country moved from its maximum potential to an increased maximum potential.

That's how I learnt it from my economics professor. (MBA & Bachelor of Science {Econ})

Edit:
I can understand how it seems like economic growth because taking theory out of it it is. But with theory around it, it can't be classified as true growth.

Last edited by kylef (2008-09-14 07:19:10)

Ender2309
has joined the GOP
+470|6990|USA
but if it grows from its max potential didn't the maximum potential just increase, therefore making it NOT growth?
kylef
Gone
+1,352|6913|N. Ireland

Ender2309 wrote:

but if it grows from its max potential didn't the maximum potential just increase, therefore making it NOT growth?
That's the hole in the theory: there can never really be a "true" maximum potential. The country can only assume what its maximum potential is and then work from that. This is the one thing economics has really taught me: it's all a theory.
Ender2309
has joined the GOP
+470|6990|USA

kylef wrote:

Ender2309 wrote:

but if it grows from its max potential didn't the maximum potential just increase, therefore making it NOT growth?
That's the hole in the theory: there can never really be a "true" maximum potential. The country can only assume what its maximum potential is and then work from that. This is the one thing economics has really taught me: it's all a theory.
so basically what you said before may be widely accepted in the economic circle but in reality is just a load of talk with no application in the real world?
kylef
Gone
+1,352|6913|N. Ireland

Ender2309 wrote:

kylef wrote:

Ender2309 wrote:

but if it grows from its max potential didn't the maximum potential just increase, therefore making it NOT growth?
That's the hole in the theory: there can never really be a "true" maximum potential. The country can only assume what its maximum potential is and then work from that. This is the one thing economics has really taught me: it's all a theory.
so basically what you said before may be widely accepted in the economic circle but in reality is just a load of talk with no application in the real world?
What I stated was the current accepted definition and understanding of the true meaning of "economic growth".

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