Thats interesting.OrangeHound wrote:
I honestly don't think the polls mean squat this year ... we don't know what we want, we are fluctuating all over the place between these two candidates. There will likely be a LOT of opinions formed in the 24 hours prior to the election.
I think Obama's base is more solid than McCains ... but, I wonder how much the Bradley Effect will influence that base.
some are some arnt there is usually a margin of error posted +/-. but some of them even admit to polling an excess of minorities which totally jacks it up.Parker wrote:
do you guys think the polls even have any accuracy? i have always doubted that they do, but i dont know how they poll people. i mean, i have never been contacted by them, nor has anyone that i know.
Last edited by SealXo (2008-10-14 21:26:02)
Last edited by {M5}Sniper3 (2008-10-14 21:49:03)
Erm, I am thinking his only realistic chance would be to... you know... eh... shoot "that one."TheAussieReaper wrote:
From this point on, it's Obama's to lose.
McCain has one more realistic chance of turning the tide during the final 1 on 1 debate, however with the economy the focus, McCain is struggling.
So whoever replaced Obama, or Obama, could get every sympathy vote in America? That wouldn't even be a viable strategy.topal63 wrote:
Erm, I am thinking his only realistic chance would be to... you know... eh... shoot "that one."TheAussieReaper wrote:
From this point on, it's Obama's to lose.
McCain has one more realistic chance of turning the tide during the final 1 on 1 debate, however with the economy the focus, McCain is struggling.
Last edited by nukchebi0 (2008-10-15 01:29:10)
They're spot on if they line up with what one thinks. They're skewed if they don't.Parker wrote:
do you guys think the polls even have any accuracy? i have always doubted that they do, but i dont know how they poll people. i mean, i have never been contacted by them, nor has anyone that i know.
Last edited by Braddock (2008-10-15 03:33:16)
lolFEOS wrote:
They're spot on if they line up with what one thinks. They're skewed if they don't.Parker wrote:
do you guys think the polls even have any accuracy? i have always doubted that they do, but i dont know how they poll people. i mean, i have never been contacted by them, nor has anyone that i know.
Not really. Penultimate polls (and exit polls) for both the 2000 and 2004 elections showed Gore & Kerry winning, respectively. Didn't quite turn out that way.Varegg wrote:
Polls have shown to be a very good indicator infront of most elections ... the last polls right before the elections have a tendency to mirror the final result ...
This is a great point. It is similar to the situation we have in the States of the media calling an election for a given candidate with 1-2% of ballots counted and polling stations still open on the West Coast. There has been concern that that practice causes people to not come out and vote, as the election is a done deal, according to the media. They have supposedly changed their policies to limit their projections until after all polling stations have closed, but they still tout polls and whatnot instead.Varegg wrote:
The question is how does a poll affect the voter, this has been debated frequently on Norwegian television ... many voters takes pride in giving their vote to the guy that won the election and decides who to vote for because the poll favor him/her at the moment ... shallow yes but it do happen ...
The other issue is can we trust the poll because of the last argument, it leaves great power in the hands of the poll makers ... is the poll constructed ? .. if one poll show a minor lead another poll can be adjusted either way to turn or enchance the result of the poll and yet another poll is adjusted and so forth ...
Polls are smelly imho ...
I was polled once.i have never been contacted by them, nor has anyone that i know.
Last edited by Dilbert_X (2008-10-15 06:00:06)
lol, ya Canada isnt any better dude. i'd rather have obama as prez than Harper as PMSealXo wrote:
Thats interesting.OrangeHound wrote:
I honestly don't think the polls mean squat this year ... we don't know what we want, we are fluctuating all over the place between these two candidates. There will likely be a LOT of opinions formed in the 24 hours prior to the election.
I think Obama's base is more solid than McCains ... but, I wonder how much the Bradley Effect will influence that base.
Who knows im just going to wake up on the 6th and if its obama im going to move to canada because my dad still has citizenship there heck yes.
He looks like a reluctant Republican to me. In nearly every rally and news clip I've seen as soon as someone, in the crowd, says something objectionable his eyes squint and dart to and for. And, he looks like he's thinking: "I can't believe I let Bush's top people run my campaign. Why did I let them unleashed the fear-&-loathing beast."DesertFox- wrote:
He has made some very poor choices in his campaign that have certainly tarnished my image of him. Right now, he just seems too...Republican. Although, even my parents, who are quite conservative, became dissatisfied with the Republican ticket after his choice of Palin (although my Mom did declare as a Dem in the primary to get Obama over Hillary, but somehow she still won the state, yet not in our county).
