BF2S Forums The limit of computer speed will be reached in only 75 years

Yeah, read the rest of the thread big B7.

I'm gonna call you B7 now.

Because packing more transistors in closer to each other means that the leakage from each transistor affects the ones around it more and more.

Moore's law isn't going to hold forever.

Kind of silly to predict 75 years from now... but fun neverthless...lol


Here are some funny predictions from the past...

2. “We will never make a 32 bit operating system.” — Bill Gates

“There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home.”
--Ken Olson, president, chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp., 1977

“This ‘telephone’ has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us.”
--Western Union internal memo, 1876.

"The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who would pay for a message sent to nobody in particular?”
--David Sarnoff’s associates in response to his urgings for investment in the radio in the 1920s

“Who the hell wants to hear actors talk?”
--H.M. Warner, Warner Brothers, 1927.

“We don’t like their sound, and guitar music is on the way out.”
--Decca Recording Co. rejecting the Beatles, 1962.

“Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible.”
--Lord Kelvin, president, Royal Society, 1895.

“Drill for oil? You mean drill into the ground to try and find oil? You’re crazy.”
--Drillers who Edwin L. Drake tried to enlist to his project to drill for oil in 1859

“The bomb will never go off. I speak as an expert in explosives.”
--Admiral William Leahy, US Atomic Bomb Project.

“Stocks have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau.”
--Irving Fisher, Professor of Economics, Yale University, 1929.

“Louis Pastueur’s theory of germs is ridiculous fiction.”
--Pierre Pachet, Professor of Physiology at Toulouse, 1872

“I’m just glad it’ll be Clark Gable who’s falling on his face and not Gary Cooper.”
--Gary Cooper on his decision not to take the leading role in “Gone With The Wind.”

http://listverse.com/2007/10/28/top-30- … edictions/
http://www.2spare.com/item_50221.aspx

This theory is solely based on the fact that no one is able to figure out alternative way of thinking and doing it.

IF that was the case, big IF, there would be this limit. But so far every time there has been a seeminly impossible barrier, some genius has figured it out eventually.

Flaming_Maniac wrote:

Not really. As I said, it is based on how fast we can change one quantum bit according to quantum theory. You have to go from one bit to another necessarily if what you're dealing with looks anything like what we would call a computer, and according to natural laws it takes x amount of time to go from one energy state to another.

The point is this theory has valid reasoning, and while it is only a theory and no one is saying that it is correct and will never be disproven, it is pretty dumb to say that it is wrong "just because we will figure out a way around it".

I am saying what if the next big thing couldn't be more different than Quantum bit?

We had absolutely no idea about quantum physics not long ago.

Last edited by GC_PaNzerFIN (2009-10-20 05:45:49)

Flaming_Maniac wrote:

The article is specifically talking about limits to computing. Obviously it would not apply to something other than a quantum computer.

No, it's specific to quantum computers as we know them, not computing itself. Modern computers have their limit, once we build a quantum computer it will have a limit as described in the article, and there may be something after that. It's not guaranteed, but I reject the idea of a limit to computing being defined 75 years ahead of time. What did we know 75 years ago?

With the speed of computers blah blah blah quantum physics quadrillion milliseconds blah blah

would u like some mayo with that baloney?

Flaming_Maniac wrote:

I say again, obviously if would not apply to something other than a quantum computer. Would it make you feel better if I put "quantum" before computing in the first sentence?

Thats kinda the whole point though.

Its like if back when they used punch cards they said "Ohh, punch cards can only be so fast, so in 75 years we will reach the limit of whats physically possible"

All well and good, but we reached the limits of technology all the time, and they just come up with a different way to do it. With the rate technology is progressing, and that fact that all this new technology allows us to research/invent/build even crazier shit, its not unreasonable to think that with in 75 years the current way of doing things will look like punch cards.

GC_PaNzerFIN wrote:

I think what is the most amazing feat so far is that we are able to calculate that stuff 75 years in advance, so we know what to prepare for and what the problem is long before it becomes a problem.

Why would it be a problem?  We're probably going to hit some barrier ourselves where there isn't much use going any faster.

(Assuming we get that far.)

Last edited by some_random_panda (2009-10-22 04:53:59)

But pure randomness could create a black hole!!!

Tbh, who cares.... We'll all either be dead in 75 years or too old to type.

Zimmer wrote:

But pure randomness could create a black hole!!!

Tbh, who cares.... We'll all either be dead in 75 years or too old to type.

Don't be too sure about that.  It may not be our generation, but could be the next.  We are in the brink of discovering immortality, at least regarding maintaining our body.

some_random_panda wrote:

Uh oh...
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/scie … light.html

Either they made a mistake, they're lying, or we're all doomed about to see sweet new life forms/black holes/weird, weird universes.

Holy fking shit now that came behind the corner! If it is legit study and gets verified, we are about to step in the next level in understanding of physics.