he hasn't looked great in the octagon against solid opponents. Let's look at his UFC record
Sub Loss to Forrest Griffin (LOL)
TKO Win against Mark Coleman (Grandfather of ground and pound was washed up at this point. Shell of the man who won the pride grand prix)
KO Win against Chuck Liddell (good win, Chuck was on his way down but still a solid opponent)
Decision Loss to Lyoto Machida (controversial, should have been a win imo)
KO Win against Machida (great finish win against a solid opponent)
TKO Loss against Jon Jones (he did not look good in this fight at all)
KO Win against Forrest Griffin (win against a mediocre opponent)
Decision Loss against Dan Henderson (A great fight, but both looked sluggish, especially in the later 2 rounds)
TKO Win against Brandon Vera (uninspired win against a mediocre opponent)
Decision Loss against Alex Gustafsson (uninspired loss against a legit opponent)
2 wins against legit competition, 3 wins against mediocre competition
1 loss against a mediocre opponent, 1 loss that should have been a win against a great opponent, 1 loss in a great fight, 1 devastating loss against a top opponent, 1 loss in a fight he looked like he didn't want to be in)
His last good win was his knockout of Machida. The last fight he looked great in was that fight against Forrest. He hasn't beaten a top opponent in 2.5 years. He looks like he's on his way out to me. His brother basically had the same arc, but with less high points. This (Shogun) was a guy who was absolutely devastating opponents in Pride 7-8 years ago.