OrangeHound
Busy doing highfalutin adminy stuff ...
+1,335|7078|Washington DC

Liberal-Sl@yer wrote:

mtb0minime wrote:

Hillary won CA
/wrists

I'm gonna cry now.
Not really thats only win 19% reporting. Thtas the thing iI fuckign hate about the news as soon as more than 10% report they throw a state to someone. Obama is actually very close to Clinton so its still up for grabs.
Exit polling is used to call races far before the ballots are tallied ... Obama had an uphill battle to beat her in California.  Plus, there's something like 2 million absentee ballots that will likely heavily favor Clinton.
Liberal-Sl@yer
Certified BF2S Asshole
+131|6885|The edge of sanity

OrangeHound wrote:

Liberal-Sl@yer wrote:

mtb0minime wrote:

Hillary won CA
/wrists

I'm gonna cry now.
Not really thats only win 19% reporting. Thtas the thing iI fuckign hate about the news as soon as more than 10% report they throw a state to someone. Obama is actually very close to Clinton so its still up for grabs.
Exit polling is used to call races far before the ballots are tallied ... Obama had an uphill battle to beat her in California.  Plus, there's something like 2 million absentee ballots that will likely heavily favor Clinton.
Still even with the projection of clinton winning those delegates the dem race is too close.
OrangeHound
Busy doing highfalutin adminy stuff ...
+1,335|7078|Washington DC

Liberal-Sl@yer wrote:

OrangeHound wrote:

Liberal-Sl@yer wrote:


Not really thats only win 19% reporting. Thtas the thing iI fuckign hate about the news as soon as more than 10% report they throw a state to someone. Obama is actually very close to Clinton so its still up for grabs.
Exit polling is used to call races far before the ballots are tallied ... Obama had an uphill battle to beat her in California.  Plus, there's something like 2 million absentee ballots that will likely heavily favor Clinton.
Still even with the projection of clinton winning those delegates the dem race is too close.
Yes, the Dem race is close, but Clinton still has more political "machinery" than Obama ... and the Super delegates are the real wild card.  I have a feeling the Dems may not have a winner going into their convention since the Dem's don't seem to be breaking.

Though the Dem race is close, I'm much more interested in the dynamics of the Republican party right now.  Effectively, none of the candidates appears to be appealing to a broad constituency:  McCain = Moderates, Huckabee = Evangelical Conservatives, Romney = Morman and non-Evangelical Conservatives

The race comes to Virginia next week.  We might actually get to make a difference in this election cycle. 
ATG
Banned
+5,233|6958|Global Command
I will seriously consider suicide if hillary is our president.
Havok
Nymphomaniac Treatment Specialist
+302|7104|Florida, United States

This might be an unspoken fact, but in California, Hillary attracted stupid people.
https://img.photobucket.com/albums/v703/HavokMaster/CaliIntel.jpg
Note the declining trend of Hillary votes as intelligence increases and the opposite for Obama.
OrangeHound
Busy doing highfalutin adminy stuff ...
+1,335|7078|Washington DC

Havok wrote:

This might be an unspoken fact, but in California, Hillary attracted stupid people.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v703/ … iIntel.jpg
Note the declining trend of Hillary votes as intelligence increases and the opposite for Obama.
Note, however, that the smarter people voted in higher percentages for Edwards ... who has dropped out of the race. 
nukchebi0
Пушкин, наше всё
+387|6753|New Haven, CT
McCain has effectively won the Republican nomination.

He would beat Hillary easily.
Havok
Nymphomaniac Treatment Specialist
+302|7104|Florida, United States

OrangeHound wrote:

Havok wrote:

This might be an unspoken fact, but in California, Hillary attracted stupid people.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v703/ … iIntel.jpg
Note the declining trend of Hillary votes as intelligence increases and the opposite for Obama.
Note, however, that the smarter people voted in higher percentages for Edwards ... who has dropped out of the race. 
Californians
OrangeHound
Busy doing highfalutin adminy stuff ...
+1,335|7078|Washington DC

ATG wrote:

I will seriously consider suicide if hillary is our president.
Well, it is looking more and more like she is the nominee.  Obama can't seem to win the Blue states, and thats the Democratic heartland.  He's doing well in Republican Territory (Red States), but Hillary is winning in the Dem strongholds.

As a result, this continues to suggest that the Dem Party is endorsing Hillary.
Kmar
Truth is my Bitch
+5,695|7030|132 and Bush

Xbone Stormsurgezz
nukchebi0
Пушкин, наше всё
+387|6753|New Haven, CT
If the Democrats lose the election, do you think Obama will try again in 2012?
OrangeHound
Busy doing highfalutin adminy stuff ...
+1,335|7078|Washington DC

nukchebi0 wrote:

McCain has effectively won the Republican nomination.
Not necessarily.  McCain has a big problem on his hands right now.  The conservative base of the Republican Party is not breaking for him ... he is attracting the votes of minority liberal-Republicans and non-party Independents.  Several upcoming states do not allow Independents to vote in their Republican primaries.

Also, the big-bosses of the Republican party might start to form a Conservative Coalition to combine the delegates of Huckabee and Romney to defeat McCain.

(This is why the Republican party is the more interesting contest right now).
Havok
Nymphomaniac Treatment Specialist
+302|7104|Florida, United States

nukchebi0 wrote:

If the Democrats lose the election, do you think Obama will try again in 2012?
He's young, so I wouldn't doubt it.

One thing I don't get is that if Kmarion is right and that the nomination comes down to the super delegates, why would they nominate Hillary?  They know all too well that she's a very polarizing candidate and that Obama would have a better chance of winning in a general election.  So why Hillary?
OrangeHound
Busy doing highfalutin adminy stuff ...
+1,335|7078|Washington DC

Havok wrote:

nukchebi0 wrote:

If the Democrats lose the election, do you think Obama will try again in 2012?
He's young, so I wouldn't doubt it.

One thing I don't get is that if Kmarion is right and that the nomination comes down to the super delegates, why would they nominate Hillary?  They know all too well that she's a very polarizing candidate and that Obama would have a better chance of winning in a general election.  So why Hillary?
Super Delegates are part of the core party machinery ... Hillary is well-connected with the party machinery, and Obama is not.

By the way, don't think that Obama is more electable than Hillary ... the Republicans will do some MAJOR mean things to him should he get the nomination, including - I would guess - tie him to terrorism.  They've already demonized Hillary, so it is as bad as it will get for her.
ATG
Banned
+5,233|6958|Global Command

OrangeHound wrote:

Havok wrote:

nukchebi0 wrote:

If the Democrats lose the election, do you think Obama will try again in 2012?
He's young, so I wouldn't doubt it.

One thing I don't get is that if Kmarion is right and that the nomination comes down to the super delegates, why would they nominate Hillary?  They know all too well that she's a very polarizing candidate and that Obama would have a better chance of winning in a general election.  So why Hillary?
Super Delegates are part of the core party machinery ... Hillary is well-connected with the party machinery, and Obama is not.

By the way, don't think that Obama is more electable than Hillary ... the Republicans will do some MAJOR mean things to him should he get the nomination, including - I would guess - tie him to terrorism.  They've already demonized Hillary, so it is as bad as it will get for her.
pfft.

If he's a terrorist, we would know it by now, and it's been tried already.


The real gag is how polarized the nation is, while how similar the candidates are.
nukchebi0
Пушкин, наше всё
+387|6753|New Haven, CT

OrangeHound wrote:

nukchebi0 wrote:

McCain has effectively won the Republican nomination.
Not necessarily.  McCain has a big problem on his hands right now.  The conservative base of the Republican Party is not breaking for him ... he is attracting the votes of minority liberal-Republicans and non-party Independents.  Several upcoming states do not allow Independents to vote in their Republican primaries.

Also, the big-bosses of the Republican party might start to form a Conservative Coalition to combine the delegates of Huckabee and Romney to defeat McCain.

(This is why the Republican party is the more interesting contest right now).
After what happened in West Virginia today, I don't foresee that happening.
Catbox
forgiveness
+505|7145
McCain/Huckabee ?   anyone but Hillary... she isn't even human... lol...
Love is the answer
mtb0minime
minimember
+2,418|7084

ATG wrote:

I will seriously consider suicide if hillary is our president.
Me too.



Or worse: moving to Canada
OrangeHound
Busy doing highfalutin adminy stuff ...
+1,335|7078|Washington DC

ATG wrote:

OrangeHound wrote:

Havok wrote:


He's young, so I wouldn't doubt it.

One thing I don't get is that if Kmarion is right and that the nomination comes down to the super delegates, why would they nominate Hillary?  They know all too well that she's a very polarizing candidate and that Obama would have a better chance of winning in a general election.  So why Hillary?
Super Delegates are part of the core party machinery ... Hillary is well-connected with the party machinery, and Obama is not.

By the way, don't think that Obama is more electable than Hillary ... the Republicans will do some MAJOR mean things to him should he get the nomination, including - I would guess - tie him to terrorism.  They've already demonized Hillary, so it is as bad as it will get for her.
pfft.

If he's a terrorist, we would know it by now, and it's been tried already.


The real gag is how polarized the nation is, while how similar the candidates are.
I didn't say he WAS a terrorist.  I said they would try to TIE HIM to terrorism.  It is already happening on a low level within the democratic ranks from the Hillary camp.  There was a mass email that went out this past week.  Politics is a dirty business, and there's a lot of low-life groups out there that will spread slander.
OrangeHound
Busy doing highfalutin adminy stuff ...
+1,335|7078|Washington DC

nukchebi0 wrote:

OrangeHound wrote:

nukchebi0 wrote:

McCain has effectively won the Republican nomination.
Not necessarily.  McCain has a big problem on his hands right now.  The conservative base of the Republican Party is not breaking for him ... he is attracting the votes of minority liberal-Republicans and non-party Independents.  Several upcoming states do not allow Independents to vote in their Republican primaries.

Also, the big-bosses of the Republican party might start to form a Conservative Coalition to combine the delegates of Huckabee and Romney to defeat McCain.

(This is why the Republican party is the more interesting contest right now).
After what happened in West Virginia today, I don't foresee that happening.
I assume you are talking about McCain delegates joining with Huckabee.

Well, it depends.  I agree that evangelical conservatives (Huckabee supporters) will not support Romney, but the opposite might be true.
nukchebi0
Пушкин, наше всё
+387|6753|New Haven, CT
Yes. I am more talking about the actual cooperation that would be necessary between the two candidates to establish an alliance against McCain. There woul dbe way too many arguments, especially after the deal in West Virginia, for a viable coalition to form Both Huckabee and Romney have stated they will continue, and I don't one of them suddenly giving up through some deal like you suggested.
Liberal-Sl@yer
Certified BF2S Asshole
+131|6885|The edge of sanity

mtb0minime wrote:

ATG wrote:

I will seriously consider suicide if hillary is our president.
Me too.



Or worse: moving to Canada
I would move to Canada or somewhere in Ocieana in a heartbeat if hiliary won.
ghettoperson
Member
+1,943|7078

ATG, if you do commit suicide, go out with a bang. Run into the Senate or something. screaming "Hillary did this to me!" and then shoot yourself in the face.
Shocking
sorry you feel that way
+333|6428|...

ATG wrote:

If  it's McCain and Clinton we deserve what we get and fuck everybody I guess.
wish granted
inane little opines
Kmar
Truth is my Bitch
+5,695|7030|132 and Bush

In case you hadn't heard.

Obama claims delegate lead
Xbone Stormsurgezz

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